probability

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probability

by j_shreyans » Thu Jul 02, 2015 1:16 am
A small company employs 3 men and 5 women. If a team of 4 employees is to be randomly selected to organize the company retreat, what is the probability that the team will have exactly 2 women?


A)1/14

B)1/7

C)2/7

D)3/7

E)1/2

OAD

I tried so many times but don't know why I am not getting an answer.

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by talaangoshtari » Thu Jul 02, 2015 2:02 am
The number of ways that we can select 2 women out of 5 is 5C2.
The number of ways that we can select 2 men out of 3 is 3C2.
The number of ways that we can select 2 women out of 5 AND 2 men out of 3 is

(5C2)(3C2)

The total number of ways of selecting 4 people out of 8 is 8C4.

Therefore the probability is:

(5C2)(3C2)/8C4 = 3/7

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by GMATGuruNY » Thu Jul 02, 2015 5:13 am
j_shreyans wrote:A small company employs 3 men and 5 women. If a team of 4 employees is to be randomly selected to organize the company retreat, what is the probability that the team will have exactly 2 women?


A)1/14

B)1/7

C)2/7

D)3/7

E)1/2
P(exactly n times) = P(one way) * total possible ways.

Let W = woman and M = man.

P(one way):
P(1st person is W) = 5/8. (8 people, 5 of them W.)
P(2nd person is W) = 4/7. (7 people left, 4 of them W.)
P(3rd person is M) = 3/6. (6 people left, 3 of them M.)
P(4th person is M) = 2/5. (5 people left, 2 of them M.)
Since we want all of these events to happen together, we multiply the fractions:
P(WWMM) = 5/8 * 4/7 * 3/6 * 2/5 = 1/14.

Total possible ways:
Any arrangement of the letters WWMM represents one way to get exactly 2 W's and 2 M's.
Thus, to account for ALL OF THE WAYS to get exactly 2 W's and 2 M's, the result above must be multiplied by the total number of ways to arrange the letters WWMM.
Number of ways to arrange 4 distinct elements = 4!.
But when an arrangement includes IDENTICAL elements, we must divide by the number of ways each set of identical elements can be ARRANGED.
The reason:
When the identical elements swap positions, the arrangement doesn't change.
Here, we must divide by 2! to account for the 2 identical W's and by another 2! to account for the 2 identical M's:
4!/(2!2!) = 6.

Thus, P(exactly 2 W) = 1/14 * 6 = 3/7.

The correct answer is D.
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by Brent@GMATPrepNow » Thu Jul 02, 2015 7:52 am
prernamalhotra wrote:A small company employs 3 men and 5 women. If a team of 4 employees is to be randomly selected to organize the company retreat, what is the probability that the team will have exactly 2 women?

A) 1/14
B) 1/7
C) 2/7
D) 3/7
E) 1/2
One approach is to apply counting methods:

P(exactly 2 women) = [# of teams with exactly 2 women] / [total # of teams possible]

# of teams with exactly 2 women
Take the task of selecting 2 women and 2 men and break it into stages.
Stage 1: Select 2 women for the team. There are 5 women to choose from, so this can be accomplished in 5C2 ways.
Stage 2: Select 2 men for the team. There are 3 men to choose from, so this can be accomplished in 3C2 ways.
By the Fundamental Counting Principle (FCP), the total number of teams with exactly 2 women = (5C2)(3C2) = (10)(3) = 30


# of teams possible
There are 8 people altogether and we must choose 4 of them.
This can be accomplished in 8C4 ways, which equals 70 ways



P(exactly 2 women) = [30] / [70]
= 3/7 = D

Aside: To learn how to calculate combinations (like 5C2) in your head, you can watch our free video: https://www.gmatprepnow.com/module/gmat-counting?id=789

--------------------------

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