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probability - triplets

Expert replies
by agarwalva » Wed May 23, 2012 4:37 pm
Triplets Adam, Bruce, and Charlie enter a triathlon. If there are 9 competitors in the triathlon, and medals are awarded for first, second, and third place, what is the probability that at least two of the triplets will win a medal?

(A) 3/14
(B) 19/84
(C) 11/42
(D) 15/28
(E) 3/4

OA B

Please give your explanations
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Source: — Problem Solving |

by Anurag@Gurome » Wed May 23, 2012 9:32 pm
agarwalva wrote:Triplets Adam, Bruce, and Charlie enter a triathlon. If there are 9 competitors in the triathlon, and medals are awarded for first, second, and third place, what is the probability that at least two of the triplets will win a medal?

(A) 3/14
(B) 19/84
(C) 11/42
(D) 15/28
(E) 3/4

OA B

Please give your explanations
Probability that at least two of the triplets will win a medal = Probability that exactly two of the triplets will win a medal + Probability that all three will win a medal.
No. of ways to select which two of the triplets will win a medal = 3C2
No. of ways to select third medal winner out of the remaining 6 competitors = 6C1
Total ways to select 3 winners out of 9 = 9C3

Probability that exactly two of the triplets will win a medal = (3C2 * 6C1)/9C3 = 18/84

Probability that all three will win a medal = 3C3/9C3 = 1/84

Therefore, required probability = 18/84 + 1/84 = [spoiler]19/84[/spoiler]

The correct answer is B.
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by GMATGuruNY » Thu May 24, 2012 5:49 am
agarwalva wrote:Triplets Adam, Bruce, and Charlie enter a triathlon. If there are 9 competitors in the triathlon, and medals are awarded for first, second, and third place, what is the probability that at least two of the triplets will win a medal?

(A) 3/14
(B) 19/84
(C) 11/42
(D) 15/28
(E) 3/4

OA B

Please give your explanations
P(good outcome) = 1 - P(bad outcome).

Bad outcome #1: Exactly 1 triplet wins.
P(triplet wins 1st place) = 3/9. (Of the 9 competitors, 3 are triplets)
P(non-triplet wins 2nd place) = 6/8. (Of the 8 remaining competitors, 6 are non-triplets)
P(non-triplet wins 3rd place) = 5/7. (Of the 7 remaining competitors, 5 are non-triplets).
Since we want all of these events to happen together, we multiply:
3/9 * 6/8 * 5/7 = 5/28.

Since the triplet who wins could be in 1st, 2nd or 3rd place, we multiply by 3:
3 * 5/28 = 15/28.

Bad outcome #2: None of the triplets wins.
P(non-triplet wins 1st place) = 6/9. (Of the 9 competitors, 6 are non-triplets)
P(non-triplet wins 2nd place) = 5/8. (Of the 8 remaining competitors, 5 are non-triplets)
P(non-triplet wins 3rd place) = 4/7. (Of the 7 remaining competitors, 4 are non-triplets).
Since we want all of these events to happen together, we multiply:
6/9 * 5/8 * 4/7 = 5/21.

P(at least 1 triplet wins) = 1 - 15/28 - 5/21 = 1 - 45/84 - 20/84 = 19/84.

The correct answer is B.
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