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If a certain coin is flipped, it has probability 1/2 of land

Expert replies
by Max@Math Revolution » Tue Dec 25, 2018 11:59 pm

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[Math Revolution GMAT math practice question]

If a certain coin is flipped, it has probability 1/2 of landing on heads and probability 1/2 of landing on tails. If the coin is flipped 4 times, what is the probability that it will land on tails at least once?

A. 3/8
B. 1/4
C. 1/2
D. 5/16
E. 15/16
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Source: — Problem Solving |

by fskilnik@GMATH » Wed Dec 26, 2018 4:59 am
Max@Math Revolution wrote:[Math Revolution GMAT math practice question]

If a certain coin is flipped, it has probability 1/2 of landing on heads and probability 1/2 of landing on tails. If the coin is flipped 4 times, what is the probability that it will land on tails at least once?

A. 3/8
B. 1/4
C. 1/2
D. 5/16
E. 15/16
$$? = P\left( {{\text{at}}\,\,{\text{least}}\,\,{\text{1}}\,\,{\text{tail}}\,\,{\text{in}}\,\,{\text{4}}\,\,{\text{landings}}} \right)$$
$$?\,\,\, = \,\,\,1 - P\left( {{\text{only}}\,\,{\text{heads}}} \right)\,\,\,\,\mathop = \limits^{\left( * \right)} \,\,\,\,1 - {\left( {\frac{1}{2}} \right)^4} = \,\,\,\frac{{15}}{{16}}\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\, \Rightarrow \,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\left( {\text{E}} \right)$$
$$\left( * \right)\,\,\,P\left( {{\text{head}}\,\,{\text{and}}\,\,{\text{head}}\,\,{\text{and}}\,\,{\text{head}}\,\,{\text{and}}\,\,{\text{head}}} \right)\,\,\,\mathop = \limits^{{\text{independency}}} \,\,\,P\left( {{\text{head}}} \right) \cdot P\left( {{\text{head}}} \right) \cdot P\left( {{\text{head}}} \right) \cdot P\left( {{\text{head}}} \right)$$


This solution follows the notations and rationale taught in the GMATH method.

Regards,
Fabio.
Fabio Skilnik :: GMATH method creator ( Math for the GMAT)
English-speakers :: https://www.gmath.net
Portuguese-speakers :: https://www.gmath.com.br
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by Max@Math Revolution » Thu Dec 27, 2018 11:12 pm
=>

The complementary case is the event with all heads, which has probability (1/2)^4.
The probability of at least one tail is 1 - (1/2)^4 = 1 - 1/16 = 15/16.

Therefore, the answer is E.
Answer: E
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by deloitte247 » Fri Dec 28, 2018 10:59 pm
Probability of at least one formular = 1 - probability of opposite event

$$\Pr obability\ of\ head\ only=\frac{1}{2}$$
$$\Pr obability\ of\ tail\ only=\frac{1}{2}$$

If coin is flipped 4 times ; Probability of tails only
$$=\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^4$$
$$=\left(\frac{1^4}{2^4}\right)^{ }$$
$$=\left(\frac{1^4}{2^4}\right)=\frac{1}{16}$$

Probability of at least one tail
$$=1-\frac{1}{16}$$
$$=\frac{1}{1}-\frac{1}{16}$$
$$=\frac{1}{1}-\frac{1}{16}$$
$$=\frac{\left(16-1\right)}{16}$$
$$=\frac{\left(15\right)}{16}$$
$$answer\ is\ Option\ E$$
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by Scott@TargetTestPrep » Sun Feb 10, 2019 7:28 am
Max@Math Revolution wrote:[Math Revolution GMAT math practice question]

If a certain coin is flipped, it has probability 1/2 of landing on heads and probability 1/2 of landing on tails. If the coin is flipped 4 times, what is the probability that it will land on tails at least once?

A. 3/8
B. 1/4
C. 1/2
D. 5/16
E. 15/16
We can use the formula:

1 - P(no tails) = P(tails at least once)

P(no tails) = (1/2)^4 = 1/16

So P(tails at least once) = 1 - 1/16 = 15/16.

Answer: E

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