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Community activist---evaluate

Expert replies
by champmag » Wed May 11, 2011 2:07 am
Community activist: If Morganville wants to keep its central shopping district healthy, it
should prevent the opening of a huge SaveAll discount department store on the outskirts of
Morganville. Records from other small towns show that whenever SaveAll has opened a store
outside the central shopping district of a small town, within five years the town has
experienced the bankruptcies of more than a quarter of the stores in the shopping district.

Theanswer to which of the following would be most useful for evaluating the
community activist's reasoning?

A. Have community activists in other towns successfully campaigned against the opening of a
SaveAll store on the outskirts of their towns?
B. Do a large percentage of the residents of Morganville currently do almost all of their shopping
at stores in Morganville?
C. In towns with healthy central shopping districts, what proportion of the stores in those districts
suffer bankruptcy during a typical five-year period?
D. What proportion of the employees at the SaveAll store on the outskirts of Morganville will be
drawn from Morganville?
E. Do newly opened SaveAll stores ever lose money during their first five years of operation?
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Source: — Critical Reasoning |

by itsmebharat » Thu May 26, 2011 11:37 pm
Confused between B and C
I am not an Expert, please feel free to suggest if there is an error.
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by amar66 » Fri May 27, 2011 3:17 am
B is correct. What if people currently don't buy departmental items from Morganville (shopping might be currently healthy due to jewelery, electronics etc. we don't know about it). But, it will at least address the basic check point.

C seems generic.
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by HSPA » Fri May 27, 2011 3:37 am
I am with C.. Let me try as per power score's variance test

Conclusion:within five years the town has experienced the bankruptcies of more than a quarter of the stores in the shopping district

C:100% of the stores in shopping district suffered bankruptcy. [strengthner]
0% of the stores suffered bankrupty [weakens the conclusion]
B: 100% people shop at central district [No effect on conlusion or bankruptcy]
0% people shop at central district [No impact]
Thus c.
champmag wrote:Community activist: If Morganville wants to keep its central shopping district healthy, it
should prevent the opening of a huge SaveAll discount department store on the outskirts of
Morganville. Records from other small towns show that whenever SaveAll has opened a store
outside the central shopping district of a small town, within five years the town has
experienced the bankruptcies of more than a quarter of the stores in the shopping district.

Theanswer to which of the following would be most useful for evaluating the
community activist's reasoning?

A. Have community activists in other towns successfully campaigned against the opening of a
SaveAll store on the outskirts of their towns?
B. Do a large percentage of the residents of Morganville currently do almost all of their shopping
at stores in Morganville?
C. In towns with healthy central shopping districts, what proportion of the stores in those districts
suffer bankruptcy during a typical five-year period?
D. What proportion of the employees at the SaveAll store on the outskirts of Morganville will be
drawn from Morganville?
E. Do newly opened SaveAll stores ever lose money during their first five years of operation?
First take: 640 (50M, 27V) - RC needs 300% improvement
Second take: coming soon..
Regards,
HSPA.
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by ani1130 » Fri May 27, 2011 5:39 am
My answer is C.

If we know the proportion of the stores in those districts that suffer bankruptcy during a typical five-year period, then we can correctly evaluate if SaveAll discount store is the reason for the bankruptcy of the stores.

i.e. for example if it is a trend that about a quater stores in these districts go bankrupt in a five year period then in that case it is not the Save ALL store that is responsible for the bankruptcy.


Regards,
ani1130
I am not an expert, If I am wrong, I would really apreciate it if I am corrected.
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by Ozlemg » Fri May 27, 2011 5:54 am
IMO E
Because, if Saveall store loses money within 5 years, it means there is something wrong with the economy of the town not the Saveall itself. So the blame will not be put on Saveall.
According to me, Percentages and proportions are not accurate to arrive at a conclusion for this Q. Proportion could be high or low but we do not have any other data to compare.
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