Pro-Tect Insurance Company

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Pro-Tect Insurance Company

by Dean Jones » Sun Dec 11, 2011 10:01 am
Dear Friends,

I was having problems in answering the following question.

During the past year, Pro-Tect Insurance Company's total payout on car-theft claims has been larger than the company can afford to sustain. Pro-Tect cannot reduce the number of car-theft policies it carries, so it cannot protect itself against continued large payouts that way. Therefore, Pro-Tect has decided to offer a discount to holders of car-theft policies whose cars have antitheft devices. Many policyholders will respond to the discount by installing such devices, since the amount of the discount will within two years typically more than cover the cost of installation. Thus, because cars with antitheft devices are rarely stolen, Pro-Tect's plan is likely to reduce its annual payouts.

In the argument above, the two portions in boldface play which of the following roles?
A. The first and the second are both evidence offered by the argument as support for its main conclusion.
B. The first presents a problem a response to which the argument assesses; the second is the judgment reached by that assessment.
C. The first is the position the argument seeks to establish; the second is a judgment the argument uses to support that position.
D. The first is a development that the argument seeks to explain; the second is a prediction the argument makes in support of the explanation it offers.
E. The first presents a development whose likely outcome is at issue in the argument; the second is a judgment the argument uses in support of its conclusion about that outcome.


Please help.

OA after some discussions.

Regards
Deano.
Source: — Critical Reasoning |

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by tuanquang269 » Sun Dec 11, 2011 8:36 pm
Dean Jones wrote:Dear Friends,

I was having problems in answering the following question.

During the past year, Pro-Tect Insurance Company's total payout on car-theft claims has been larger than the company can afford to sustain. Pro-Tect cannot reduce the number of car-theft policies it carries, so it cannot protect itself against continued large payouts that way. Therefore, Pro-Tect has decided to offer a discount to holders of car-theft policies whose cars have antitheft devices. Many policyholders will respond to the discount by installing such devices, since the amount of the discount will within two years typically more than cover the cost of installation. Thus, because cars with antitheft devices are rarely stolen, Pro-Tect's plan is likely to reduce its annual payouts.

In the argument above, the two portions in boldface play which of the following roles?
A. The first and the second are both evidence offered by the argument as support for its main conclusion. => the second is not evidence.
B. The first presents a problem a response to which the argument assesses; the second is the judgment reached by that assessment. => 1st is the problem that the insurance company will face. After some assessment, they reach a strategy (judgment) to minimum the outcome of the problem mentioned in the 1st
C. The first is the position the argument seeks to establish; the second is a judgment the argument uses to support that position. => The first is the problem, so the argument do not have to seek to establish. The second also do not support...
D. The first is a development that the argument seeks to explain; the second is a prediction the argument makes in support of the explanation it offers. => 1st reasoning is the same as choice B
E. The first presents a development whose likely outcome is at issue in the argument; the second is a judgment the argument uses in support of its conclusion about that outcome. => the 2nd is not used to support conclusion of 1st outcome
I use POE. Hope that helps

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by Dean Jones » Sat Dec 17, 2011 11:00 am
OA is option B