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Identify Conclusion : Question from Manhattan Ch 2-Q5-Pg38

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by skhanna » Thu Feb 24, 2011 3:03 am
In Chapter 2 - "Diagramming Problem Set" of Manhattan guide to Critical Reasoning 4th edition, there is the following question:

"Estimated mileage for a new vehicle assumes that the operator will never exceed sixty miles per hour, encounter traffic, or operate the air conditioner. Because these things do happen in practice, the actual mileage of the vehicle is often significantly lowerthan the estimates noted on the vehicle's window sticker. To rectify this discrepancy, the Environmental Protection Agency has mandated that by 2008, window stickers must reflect actual, rather than theoretical, mileage, a change that is expected to result in an average decline of twelve percent for city driving and eight percent for highway driving."

Manhattan answer to this question claims that there is no conclusion in this argument, but on the other hand in the chapter they mentioned that "expected to result in" is a prediction for future and hence a conclusion.

So my question is - isn't "a change that is expected to result in an average decline of twelve percent for city driving and eight percent for highway driving" a conclusion in the above argument??
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by manpsingh87 » Thu Feb 24, 2011 3:41 am
skhanna wrote:In Chapter 2 - "Diagramming Problem Set" of Manhattan guide to Critical Reasoning 4th edition, there is the following question:

"Estimated mileage for a new vehicle assumes that the operator will never exceed sixty miles per hour, encounter traffic, or operate the air conditioner. Because these things do happen in practice, the actual mileage of the vehicle is often significantly lowerthan the estimates noted on the vehicle's window sticker. To rectify this discrepancy, the Environmental Protection Agency has mandated that by 2008, window stickers must reflect actual, rather than theoretical, mileage, a change that is expected to result in an average decline of twelve percent for city driving and eight percent for highway driving."

Manhattan answer to this question claims that there is no conclusion in this argument, but on the other hand in the chapter they mentioned that "expected to result in" is a prediction for future and hence a conclusion.

So my question is - isn't "a change that is expected to result in an average decline of twelve percent for city driving and eight percent for highway driving" a conclusion in the above argument??

An argument consist of Conclusion + Premise, Conclusion is something that is drawn on the basis of the stated facts, To answer your question can you provide me the premise that makes you think that it is a conclusion.!!!
O Excellence... my search for you is on... you can be far.. but not beyond my reach!
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by aspirant2011 » Thu Feb 24, 2011 4:53 am
according to me it should be the conclusion only.............can someone elaborate on the same please................
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by Someone.on.task » Thu Feb 24, 2011 6:56 am
skhanna wrote:In Chapter 2 - "Diagramming Problem Set" of Manhattan guide to Critical Reasoning 4th edition, there is the following question:

"Estimated mileage for a new vehicle assumes that the operator will never exceed sixty miles per hour, encounter traffic, or operate the air conditioner. Because these things do happen in practice, the actual mileage of the vehicle is often significantly lowerthan the estimates noted on the vehicle's window sticker. To rectify this discrepancy, the Environmental Protection Agency has mandated that by 2008, window stickers must reflect actual, rather than theoretical, mileage, a change that is expected to result in an average decline of twelve percent for city driving and eight percent for highway driving."

Manhattan answer to this question claims that there is no conclusion in this argument, but on the other hand in the chapter they mentioned that "expected to result in" is a prediction for future and hence a conclusion.

So my question is - isn't "a change that is expected to result in an average decline of twelve percent for city driving and eight percent for highway driving" a conclusion in the above argument??

Hi, I feel these are just bunch of facts. The use of words "result-in" doesnt make "to result in an average decline of twelve percent for city driving and eight percent for highway driving" as the conclusion of the stimulus. In overall context these are the series of facts. Nothing has been derived from them.

Premise/Facts.
1) An estimated theoretical mileage is calculated based on assumptions (speed <60miles/hr etc..)
2) Under practical conditions actual mileage< estimated theoretical mileage
3) To rectify - EPA has mandated to mention on stickers the practical Mileage (which is 12% less for the City driving & 8% less for the Highway driving) rather than theoretical mileage.
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