skprocks wrote:dtweah wrote:real2008 wrote:dtweah wrote:ST wrote:could you please explain it more? How did you get 2C2 and 7C3
Sorry for delay.
Whenever you told that "JOhn and James must be included" you can treat that as a Sure EVENT. It has to happen. The probably of a Sure event is 1. Separate the sure event from the others. You have J J A B C D E F G
Probability of choosing james and john x probability choosing the other 3 after you have chosen james and John / 9C5
2/2=2C2=1 x 7C3/9C5
That is the concept behind it.
why 2C2?
The number of ways of picking two persons from among 2 persons. I said separate two groups. One group of 2 persons and another group of 7 persons. If the 2 persons must be included then you find that number of ways of selecting them is:
2C2 x number of ways of selecting 3 people from 7=7C3/9C5
That approach is fine.But when I consider the approach of 1- Negation of prob , I am not getting the expected answer.
P(John and Peter were not selected)= 7c5/9c5
And hence P(John and Peter Selected)=1-7c5/9c5=1=1-1/6=5/6 which is not any of the option.I am unable to understand.
Why this approach does not yield an answer?
The approach you're using is:
P(good outcome) = 1 - P(bad outcome)
To use this approach, we have to account for ALL the different ways to get a bad outcome:
P(not both J and P) = P(not J and not P) + P(J or P and 4 others)
P(not J and not P) = 7c5/9c5 = 1/6
P(J or P and 4 others) = 2 * 7c4/9c5 = 5/9
P(not both J and P) = 1/6 + 5/9 = 13/18
So P(both J and P) = 1 - 13/18 = 5/18.
I'd use this approach only when P(bad outcome) is easier to determine than P(good outcome). In this problem, P(good outcome) involves less math.
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