confusing awa argument

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confusing awa argument

by aerodan1 » Tue Mar 23, 2010 6:48 pm
The following appeared in an announcement issued by the publisher of The Mercury, a weekly newspaper:
"Since a competing lower-priced newspaper, The Bugle, was started five years ago, The Mercury's circulation has
declined by 10,000 readers. The best way to get more people to read The Mercury is to reduce its price below that of
The Bugle, at least until circulation increases to former levels. The increased circulation of The Mercury will attract
more businesses to buy advertising space in the paper."

I was just doing a practice essay, and this was tonight's topic that I picked. I am confused as to what the conclusion actually is, and whether it is actually stated. I reasoned that the conclusion is that ultimately, profits will increase in the long term. The premises (except for the part "...at least until circulation increases to former levels.") seem fine, and the assumptions are easy to attack:

- author assumes that new customers will stay if prices increase
- assumes that old customers wont get fed up with price fluctuation and decide to leave
- assumes that advertisers demand wont decrease (follows from previous two assumptions)
- assumes that profit will not decrease in long term as a result of its plan.
any thoughts?
Source: — GMAT Essays (AWA) |

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by kevincanspain » Fri Mar 26, 2010 7:52 am
The best way to get more people to read The Mercury is to reduce its price below that of
The Bugle, at least until circulation increases to former levels.


This seems to be the conclusion, although the only sentence supporting it is the first sentence


The last sentence is a objectionable judgement.

Issues: causation vs. correlation (Is the drop in circulation due to The Bugle? other factors such as staff changes, content being covered better by other newspapers, poor delivery)

The Bugle may indeed be stealing readers not because of its lower price but because of fresher writing or better coverage of local sports


Would a lower-priced yet higher-circulating newspaper attract more businesses? Advertisers may be more interested in attracting readers who don't mind paying more for a quality newspaper.

Could The Mercury lower prices without sacrificing quality?
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by aerodan1 » Fri Mar 26, 2010 4:14 pm
thanks very much kevin, i suppose that the conclusion will always, or perhaps almost always, be stated in these awa arg. problems. once the clock is ticking (and i time all of my practice problems), sometimes its hard to slow down and figure out exactly what is going on. so i realize that this problem of mine is more a lack of experience than anything, and i need more good practice.

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