Wow that is a question of practical significance.
I will give it a shot.
First the total number of outcomes can be given by 90C10.
This the number of ways in which 10 numbers can be selected by the administrator from the given 90 numbers.
I did the calculation using my calculator and got 5720645481903!!!
Lets assume for the time being that only 1 person is playing:
The event (or desired outcome) is the administrator selecting 5 numbers from the 15 numbers in this person's ticket and the remaining 5 numbers from the remaining 75 numbers (that are not on this person's ticket).
The number of ways in which this event can take place: 15C5 * 75C5, which again calculated using calculator gives 3003*17259390
Thus probability can be calculating by dividing the desired by the total outcomes = 0.009.
Lets define this as Probability of success. or p(success)
Thus P(failure)=1-p(success) = 0.9909
Now coming back to the question on 3 players playing the game.
P(one gets 5 numbers crossed in first 10 calls)=3C1*p(success)*p(failure)*p(failure)
3C1 since we need to select 1 person who succeeds.
We multiple the three probabilities as shown since 1 person has to succeed and remaining two have to fail.
This gives the answer as 0.0266 or 2.7%.
Wow...there is only 2.7% chance that one of the 3 players will get 5 numbers on his tickets crossed in the first 10 calls of the numbers.
Good question 007.r.mason...However, I am pretty sure on GMAT we will not be required to perform such lengthy calculations. But it surely was fun getting to the final answer.
I hope I am on the right track in this solution. Any comments...
