Tony: I play the Big Bucks lottery. Every week, five winning

[BTGmoderatorDC]

Tony: I play the Big Bucks lottery. Every week, five winning numbers are drawn,and all the players who have picked those numbers share the jackpot. It's best to play only after there have been a few weeks with no winners, because the jackpot increases each week that there is no winner.

Baggs: No, you're more likely to win the lottery when the jackpot is small,because that's when the fewest people are playing.

Which one of the following most accurately describes a mistake in the reasoning of one of the two players?

(A) Tony holds that the chances of winning are unaffected by the number of times a person plays.
(B) Baggs holds that the chances of Tony's winning are affected by the number of other people playing.
(C) Tony holds that the chances of anyone's winning are unaffected by the size of the jackpot.
(D) Baggs holds that the chances of Tony's winning in a given week are unaffected by whether anyone has won the week before.
(E) Tony holds that the chances of there being a winner go up if no one has won the lottery for quite a while.

OA B

Source: Veritas Prep

[deloitte247]

Option A:- Incorrect
Tony is NOT talking about chances; he is talking about much like "Ghar baitho jeeto "jackpot of KBC (Kaun Banega Crorepati).

Option B:- correct
Baggs made exactly this mistake of believing that the number of people participating effect the chance of winning. The chances of Tony winning are affected by the five winning numbers and not the number of players.

Option C:- Incorrect
Tony is NOT talking about chances of winning when fewer people are playing.

Option D:- Incorrect
Baggs is talking about the chances of winning. Let's eliminate this point.

Option E:- Incorrect
It is important that Tony is NOT talking about chance, and this should not cause a mental drift in choosing the right option.