Probability Question

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Probability Question

by seema19 » Mon Oct 03, 2011 10:57 pm
A box contains 12 bulbs, of which 4 are defective. 3 bulbs are selected at random and inserted into 3 sockets in a room. Find the probability that the room is lit.

a) 4/55
b) 1/55
c) 54/55
d) 1/4
e) 2/55

Answer: [spoiler]54/55[/spoiler]

This is how I solved it:
Out of the 12 bulbs, 4 are defective. Thus, the remaining 8 are good. Now, we have to choose 3 bulbs out of the 8 good bulbs so that the room is lit - 8C3/12C3 - But, this was wrong as I got the answer as 14/55. Can someone please let me know where I am going wrong.
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by shankar.ashwin » Mon Oct 03, 2011 11:04 pm
for the room to be lit, it is sufficient that atleast 1 bulb is lit (not necessary all 3 should work)

So find, 1 - P(all 3 are defective)

1 - 4C3/12C3 = 54/55

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by knight247 » Mon Oct 03, 2011 11:07 pm
The concept u need to understand is that for the room to be lit, having only one working bulb is also sufficient. Its not necessary that all three bulbs have to be working. Let W stand for working and D stand for defective. So we could have (DWW)3!/2!+(DDW)3!/2!+(WWW). What this translates into is, If three bulbs are picked up at random, what is the probability that atleast one works. Since the above calculation is a bit time consuming we can find the complementary i.e. the probability that no bulb works out of the three picked up.

# of possible outcomes=12C3=220
Number of ways to pick only 3 defective bulbs=4C3=4
Probability=4/220=1/55

Now, 1-1/55=54/55 Hence C