This MGMAT answer seems incorrect to me

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This MGMAT answer seems incorrect to me

by maihuna » Mon Jun 06, 2011 9:15 am
If the primary purpose is to compare the utility of different kind of indicators what this last passage is doing here? Its an Insane expl.

American economists continually attempt to gauge the health of the economy, both for the gain of the private sector as well as for the global standing of the United States. Different elements of the economy react differently to changes in prosperity. Some elements rise and fall as the economy waxes and wanes. These are known as coincident indicators. Other elements are known as leading indicators and usually show a downturn before the economy does. A third group of elements are known as lagging indicators and lose vigor only after the economy has already begun to slow. Economists can predict the direction of the economy by monitoring these indicators.
Coincident indicators, such as manufacturing and employment rates, are the best gauge of the current state of the economy. A continued shift in these indicators allows economists to determine whether the economy itself is in the process of an upturn or a downturn. These indicators coincide with shifts in the economy because they are dependent on sustained prosperity. But since coincident indicators reflect only the current state of the economy, they are not especially useful in predicting how the economy will perform in the near future. Economists must look to other indicators for that.
The indicators with the greatest predictive power are leading indicators, such as mortgage applications and profit margins. When these indicators rise or fall, economists can often foretell similar changes in the country's economic health. These indicators do not cause changes in the economy. Rather, they often signal changes in economic behavior that lead to shifts in the economic cycle. By contrast, the third type of indicator - lagging indicators - is useless as a harbinger of change. But these indicators can be helpful in confirming the assessments of economists.
Determining which elements of the economy fall into which category of indicator requires analysis of copious data and an understanding of the factors that propel the economy. One must determine which events surrounding a turn in the business cycle actually contributed to the change. Establishing a solid framework for understanding the behavior of these indicators helps economists to avoid miscalculations and to guide the country through periods of slow or negative economic growth.
The primary purpose of the passage is to
compare the utility of various economic indicators
explain the process by which economists draw conclusions about key factors of economic change
present a conceptual framework used by economists to prescribe economic goals
trace the development of a set of economic devices
argue for the continued evaluation of economic factors affecting the business cycle
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by krishnasty » Mon Jun 06, 2011 9:30 am
maihuna wrote:If the primary purpose is to compare the utility of different kind of indicators what this last passage is doing here? Its an Insane expl.

American economists continually attempt to gauge the health of the economy, both for the gain of the private sector as well as for the global standing of the United States. Different elements of the economy react differently to changes in prosperity. Some elements rise and fall as the economy waxes and wanes. These are known as coincident indicators. Other elements are known as leading indicators and usually show a downturn before the economy does. A third group of elements are known as lagging indicators and lose vigor only after the economy has already begun to slow. Economists can predict the direction of the economy by monitoring these indicators.
Coincident indicators, such as manufacturing and employment rates, are the best gauge of the current state of the economy. A continued shift in these indicators allows economists to determine whether the economy itself is in the process of an upturn or a downturn. These indicators coincide with shifts in the economy because they are dependent on sustained prosperity. But since coincident indicators reflect only the current state of the economy, they are not especially useful in predicting how the economy will perform in the near future. Economists must look to other indicators for that.
The indicators with the greatest predictive power are leading indicators, such as mortgage applications and profit margins. When these indicators rise or fall, economists can often foretell similar changes in the country's economic health. These indicators do not cause changes in the economy. Rather, they often signal changes in economic behavior that lead to shifts in the economic cycle. By contrast, the third type of indicator - lagging indicators - is useless as a harbinger of change. But these indicators can be helpful in confirming the assessments of economists.
Determining which elements of the economy fall into which category of indicator requires analysis of copious data and an understanding of the factors that propel the economy. One must determine which events surrounding a turn in the business cycle actually contributed to the change. Establishing a solid framework for understanding the behavior of these indicators helps economists to avoid miscalculations and to guide the country through periods of slow or negative economic growth.
The primary purpose of the passage is to
compare the utility of various economic indicators
explain the process by which economists draw conclusions about key factors of economic change
present a conceptual framework used by economists to prescribe economic goals
trace the development of a set of economic devices
argue for the continued evaluation of economic factors affecting the business cycle
IMO A

The passage is a giving a brief idea on how the economy of the country is judged and what are the indicators which are used to determine the same. Its a very generic understanding about 3 types of factors. Keeping this in mind, we approach the options
(A) - like the passage, we are breifly analyzing the importance/utility of these factors
(B) - the word which gives away this options is "key factors of economic change". The passage is not drawing conclusions about any key factor. It's just explaining the indicators
(C) - huh??? economic goals?? irrelevant
(D) - again irrelevant. we are not tracing any economic devices
(E) - again, the tone of the passage is not argumentative. hence, incorrect

I hope the answer is much clear now..

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by HSPA » Wed Jun 08, 2011 3:53 am
Let me copy the phrases of importance --atleast to me

American economists continually attempt to gauge the health of the economy
Economists can predict the direction of the economy by monitoring these indicators.
Economists must look to other indicators than to rely on coincident indicator
leading indicators - economists can often foretell similar changes in the country's economic health

From all these IMO B

Hi Mai hoon na, OA please and just out of interst like that..is this you intend to be your name.
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by HSPA » Wed Jun 08, 2011 4:26 am
How to process A? Tough one.. items in green are strengthening A "usage vs conclusion providers"
HSPA wrote:Let me copy the phrases of importance --atleast to me

American economists continually attempt to gauge the health of the economy
Economists can predict the direction of the economy by monitoring these indicators.
Economists must look to other indicators than to rely on coincident indicator
leading indicators - economists can often foretell similar changes in the country's economic health

From all these IMO B

Hi Mai hoon na, OA please and just out of interst like that..is this you intend to be your name.
First take: 640 (50M, 27V) - RC needs 300% improvement
Second take: coming soon..
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by g.shankaran » Wed Jun 08, 2011 7:56 am
The OA is A. I chose B and it was wrong.

krishnasty's explanation is convincing to say why B is wrong.

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by vikram4689 » Wed Jun 08, 2011 5:43 pm
Though i feel that answer is A but the reason is feel so somewhat different.
As Maihuna said why we have last para if we only want to describe indicators. So lets look what is being said in the last para. Last para talks about categorizing various key factors in different categories and says that it involves analysis of large amount of data. Now here comes the reason why B is wrong:
1) Firstly, Though there is mention about drawing conclusion on various key factors, there is no mention of "PROCESS" of how it is done.
2) Even if the process had been mentioned if would have gone with A, the reason being that it is only last para that discusses about this topic but the passage largely is NOT involved in this topic, passage is explaining the indicators.
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by lunarpower » Wed Jun 08, 2011 11:32 pm
received pm

the reason why (b) is wrong is highlighted in red below:
explain the process by which economists draw conclusions about key factors of economic change
the passage doesn't do this. it just says "economists can use factor X to make prediction Y", but it contains *no* information about the process (i.e., the actual steps of the economists' analysis).

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analogy:
the human body manufactures testosterone from cholesterol.
--> does this sentence describe the origins of testosterone in the human body?
yes.
--> does it described the process by which the body makes testosterone?
not at all.

do you see the difference?
"process" means "here's how it actually works"
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