Hi Stuart,
even though this discussion is 2 years old, I guess it might still be useful posting alternative solutions, as there might probably be others like me that are still reading the stuff..
So in this case, after one figured out that there is actually only 1 combination fulfilling the requirements, namely (x+y)*(x-y), one can also calculate:
1/2 * 1/3 = 1/6, because in the first draw we have a probability of 1/2 of catching either (x+y) or (x-y), and in the second draw a prob of 1/3 for catching the missing term.
We could also come up with it by calculating:
(1/4 * 1/3) * 2 = 1/6, this is the same logic as above, only that we consider the probabilities of catching either (x+y) or (x-y) in the first draw separately.
This is essentially the same as calculating 1/(4C2)