storm prediction

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storm prediction

by arora007 » Sat Aug 14, 2010 10:05 am
Many of the most damaging and life-threatening types of weather-torrential rains, severe thunderstorms, and tornadoes-begin quickly, strike suddenly, and dissipate rapidly, devastating small regions while leaving neighboring areas untouched. One such event, a tornado, struck the northeastern section of Edmonton, Alberta, in July 1987. Total damages from the tornado exceeded $ 250 million, the highest ever for any Canadian storm. Conventional computer models of the atmosphere have limited value in predicting short-live local storms like the Edmonton tornado, because the available weather data are generally not detailed enough to allow computers to discern the subtle atmospheric changes that precede these storms. In most nations, for example, weather balloon observations are taken just once every twelve hours at locations typically separated by hundreds of miles. With such limited data, conventional forecasting models do a much better job predicting general weather conditions over large regions than they do forecasting specific local events.

Until recently, the observation-intensive approach needed for accurate, very shortrange forecasts, or "Nowcasts", was not feasible. The cost of equipping and operating many thousands of conventional weather stations was prohibitively high, and the difficulties involved in rapidly collecting and processing the raw weather data from such a network were insurmountable. Fortunately, scientific and technological advances have overcome most of these problems. Radar systems, automated weather instruments, and satellites are all capable of making detailed, nearly continuous observation over large regions at a relatively low cost. Communications satellites can transmit data around the world cheaply and instantaneously, and modern computers can quickly compile and analyzing this large volume of weather information. Meteorologists and computer scientists now work together to design computer programs and video equipment capable of transforming raw weather data into words, symbols, and vivid graphic displays that forecasters can interpret easily and quickly. As meteorologists have begun using these new technologies in weather forecasting offices, Nowcasting is becoming a reality.

Why does the author mention the tornado in Edmonton, Canada?
(A) To indicate that tornadoes are common in the summer
(B) To give an example of a damaging storm
(C) To explain different types of weather
(D) To show that tornadoes occur frequently in Canada

Why does the author state in line 10 that observations are taken "just once every twelve hours"?
(A) To indicate that the observations are timely
(B) To show why the observations are of limited value
(C) To compare data from balloons and computers
(D) To give an example of international cooperation

With which of the following statements is the author most likely to agree?
(A) Communications satellites can predict severe weather.
(B) Meteorologists should standardize computer programs.
(C) The observation-intensive approach is no longer useful.
(D) Weather predictions are becoming more accurate.

Which of the following would best illustrate Nowcasting?
(A) A five-day forecast
(B) A warning about a severe thunderstorm on the radio.
(C) The average rainfall for each month
(D) A list of temperatures in major cities
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Source: — Reading Comprehension |

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by selango » Sat Aug 14, 2010 10:22 am
[spoiler]1.C

2.B

3.D

4.A[/spoiler]
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by puneetdua » Sat Aug 14, 2010 10:27 am
I think,answers are -

1)b
2)b
3)d
4)b

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by arora007 » Sat Aug 14, 2010 10:37 am
OA, BCCB

even i found this passage's questions a bit difficult.. infact i got 2 wrong!
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by puneetdua » Sat Aug 14, 2010 10:47 am
Hey arora007 ,

what is the source of this RC, because answer choices for 2nd and 3rd question doesn't seem correct to me.
Can we have some expert opinion on these 2 question?

Thanks

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by selango » Sat Aug 14, 2010 10:50 am
Yes arora I can't agree with 2 and 3rd answers.
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by arora007 » Sat Aug 14, 2010 11:00 am
puneetdua wrote:Hey arora007 ,

what is the source of this RC, because answer choices for 2nd and 3rd question doesn't seem correct to me.
Can we have some expert opinion on these 2 question?

Thanks
I am actually practicing the retired GMAT tests from the "RC QUESTIONS GMAT(1995-2000).pdf"

one can download it from https://www.beatthegmat.com/plants-attac ... tml#285966
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by puneetdua » Sat Aug 14, 2010 11:19 am
Thanks arora007 for the PDF :) , will have enough material for practising RC.

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by arora007 » Sat Aug 14, 2010 11:24 am
puneetdua wrote:Thanks arora007 for the PDF :) , will have enough material for practising RC.
Hey Puneet...
I have been strategizing something for my GMAT, verbal section in particular for us non-natives.... something unconventional. If it works for me... I will surely share in my debrief!! pray for me till then :)
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by arora007 » Sat Aug 14, 2010 8:50 pm
Which of the following would best illustrate Nowcasting?
(A) A five-day forecast
(B) A warning about a severe thunderstorm on the radio.
(C) The average rainfall for each month
(D) A list of temperatures in major cities

is explained by

"Until recently, the observation-intensive approach needed for accurate, very shortrange forecasts, or "Nowcasts", was not feasible. "

radio stations are local rite...
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by arora007 » Sat Aug 14, 2010 8:57 pm
Why does the author state in line 10 that observations are taken "just once every twelve hours"?
(A) To indicate that the observations are timely
(B) To show why the observations are of limited value
(C) To compare data from balloons and computers
(D) To give an example of international cooperation


is explained by the logic, a change in whether pattern can be seen only if we have data at regular intervals, say of 12 hrs...

now the computer is predicting say a particular pattern, but the actual data is deviant then the computer's data needs to be refreshed!

it should be C.

Perhaps I could think in this manner because I have seen it myself. My father was an aeronautical engineer and a scientist at VSSC ISRO(Thumba, Trivandrum, India). We used to have a sounding rocket launched from near the sea coast , every wednesday! :)
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by arora007 » Sat Aug 14, 2010 9:06 pm
With which of the following statements is the author most likely to agree?
(A) Communications satellites can predict severe weather.
(B) Meteorologists should standardize computer programs.
(C) The observation-intensive approach is no longer useful.
(D) Weather predictions are becoming more accurate.

In this question, at first all choices look good... but looking closely we can rule out A ,
B is too strong and suggestive and not there in the passage, moreover if u agree with Ans 2, u will know..that there were little ways that computers could be standardized.

Now its between C & D.

D seems logically correct, as a common reader, but

"Radar systems, automated weather instruments, and satellites are all capable of making detailed, nearly continuous observation over large regions at a relatively low cost. Communications satellites can transmit data around the world cheaply and instantaneously, and modern computers can quickly compile and analyzing this large volume of weather information."

The passage does not seem to mention anywhere its becoming accurate, it just mentions its become quick, cheap, nearly continuous observations for larges swathes of area.

Moreover C hinges on the sentence.
"Until recently, the observation-intensive approach needed for accurate, very shortrange forecasts, or "Nowcasts" "
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by arora007 » Sat Aug 14, 2010 9:07 pm
Why does the author mention the tornado in Edmonton, Canada?
(A) To indicate that tornadoes are common in the summer
(B) To give an example of a damaging storm
(C) To explain different types of weather
(D) To show that tornadoes occur frequently in Canada

B is an obvious choice here, I hope no issues on that.
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