When replaced:
probability of the 1st card to be red = 1/2
when we replaced, we will have the same set of cards
probability for an ace = 4/52
probability of both events to happen = 1/2 * 4/52 = 1/26
when not replaced:
probability of the 1st card to be red = 26/52
but the 1st card can be red ace too..
so we will divide it into two red cases..
1st one red suit without an ace, and second red ace
the probability of 1st card to be red non-ace = 24/52
the probability of 2nd card to be ace = 4/51
the probability that the 1st card is non-ace red card and second card is ace = 24/52 * 4/51
the probability of the 1st card to be red ace = 2/52
the probability of the 2nd card to be ace = 3/51
the probability that the 1st card is ace red card and second card is ace = 2/52 * 3/51
the probability that 1st card is red and the second is an Ace = the probability that the 1st card is non-ace red card and second card is ace + the probability that the 1st card is ace red card and second card is ace
= (24/52 * 4/51) + (2/52 * 3/51)
= 1/26
Last edited by
Anurag@Gurome on Wed Sep 26, 2012 2:19 am, edited 1 time in total.