Probability Data Sufficiency question

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Probability Data Sufficiency question

by Striver » Sun Sep 09, 2012 1:18 pm
A box contains 10 light bulbs, fewer than half of which are defective. Two bulbs are to be drawn simultaneously from the box. If n of the bulbs in the box are defective, what is the value of n?

(1) The probability that the two bulbs to be drawn will be defective is 1/15.

(2) The probability that one of the bulbs to be drawn will be defective and the other will not be defective is 7/15.
Source: — Data Sufficiency |

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by GMATGuruNY » Sun Sep 09, 2012 2:39 pm
Striver wrote:A box contains 10 light bulbs, fewer than half of which are defective. Two bulbs are to be drawn simultaneously from the box. If n of the bulbs in the box are defective, what is the value of n?

(1) The probability that the two bulbs to be drawn will be defective is 1/15.

(2) The probability that one of the bulbs to be drawn will be defective and the other will not be defective is 7/15.
Statement 1 gives something away: since P(both bulbs are defective) > 0, there must be at least 2 defective bulbs.
Since the question stems indicates that n<5, we know that the only possible values are n=2, n=3, or n=4.

Statement 1: P(both are defective) = 1/15.
If n=2, P(both are defective) = 2/10 * 1/9 = 1/45. Doesn't work.
If n=3, P(both are defective) = 3/10 * 2/9 = 1/15. This works.
Clearly, n=4 can't work, since it will increase all the numerators.
Thus, n=3.
Sufficient.

Statement 2: P(exactly 1 is defective) = 7/15.
Since only n=3 worked in statement 1, we should start with n=3.

If n=3, P(1st is defective and the 2nd is not) = 3/10 * 7/9 = 7/30.
Since P(1st is not defective and the 2nd is defective) will yield the same probability, the result above must be multiplied by 2:
P(exactly 1 is defective) = 2 * 7/30 = 7/15. This works.

Clearly n=4 can't work, since it will increase all the numerators.
Using similar logic, n=2 can't work, since it will decrease all the numerators.
Thus, n=3.
Sufficient.

The correct answer is D.
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by Anurag@Gurome » Sun Sep 09, 2012 7:11 pm
Striver wrote:A box contains 10 light bulbs, fewer than half of which are defective. Two bulbs are to be drawn simultaneously from the box. If n of the bulbs in the box are defective, what is the value of n?

(1) The probability that the two bulbs to be drawn will be defective is 1/15.

(2) The probability that one of the bulbs to be drawn will be defective and the other will not be defective is 7/15.
(1) The probability that the two bulbs to be drawn will be defective is 1/15.
Now the probability of drawing 2 defective bulbs out of a total of 10 bulbs depends on the number of defective bulbs, n. So, we can find value of n if we are given the probability; SUFFICIENT.

(2) The probability that one of the bulbs to be drawn will be defective and the other will not be defective is 7/15.
If there were 3 defective and 7 good bulbs or 7 defective and 3 good bulbs, then the probability of drawing one defective and one good bulb would be the same for both cases, so the given probability of 7/15 of drawing one defective and one good bulb will give 2 values of n, one less than 5 and another more than 5, but as we are given that n < 5, so we can get a unique value of n < 5; SUFFICIENT.

The correct answer is D.
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