I agree that A claims the number of smokers have increased but more number of smokers would obviously mean higher tobacco sales very much against the question stem...
So if A is correct then is the other part of the question stem i.e. tobacco sales not important? How do we identify such situation?
except
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I would also go with A option because if we have 8 women who have started and 5 men who left then 3 adults have got increased.............. we were supposed to find an answer choice in which tobacco consumption has increased but number of adults have also got increased..........
B talks about teen age children therefore wrong.......
C doesnt mention anything about adults, it just talks about non smokers and moreover question asks us for "decrease in the number of adults"...........
D irrelevant as it doesnt talk anything about the number of people who have started smoking
E same as D..........
B talks about teen age children therefore wrong.......
C doesnt mention anything about adults, it just talks about non smokers and moreover question asks us for "decrease in the number of adults"...........
D irrelevant as it doesnt talk anything about the number of people who have started smoking
E same as D..........
I get what you are saying Clawhammer, and D could fall victim to the same type of analysis. I think it needs to be looked at like this though:
Does B explain how both facts COULD be true? Yes.
Does A explain how both facts COULD be true? No.
Is B a perfect, lock-tight, has to be the explanation, answer? No, but it could be one, and that's what the question stem asks for.
A does nothing to address the paradox, if anything it adds to it.
So you are right in the way you showed how under certain scenarios B might not actually address the paradox, but under certain scenarios it does. A does not under any circumstance.
Does B explain how both facts COULD be true? Yes.
Does A explain how both facts COULD be true? No.
Is B a perfect, lock-tight, has to be the explanation, answer? No, but it could be one, and that's what the question stem asks for.
A does nothing to address the paradox, if anything it adds to it.
So you are right in the way you showed how under certain scenarios B might not actually address the paradox, but under certain scenarios it does. A does not under any circumstance.
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A very good question. At first glance all choices seem to explain the paradox. But A is tricky - it says that the number of women who have taken up smoking is more than the number of men who stopped, but does not consider women who may have stopped smoking. The stimulus mentions that number of adults (both men and women) have decreased. So it is A.
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Let look of the answer as follows:
Paradox here:
P1: number of adult smokers decreased (demand from one source)
P2: total amount of tobacoo sold increased (supply)
Prediction: demand still increased but from the other sources of demand
Reasoning: there are many sources of demand affecting the supply of one product. So decrease in one source may not lead to the decrease in overall supply since the overall supply is decided by the overall demand.
solution:
A. During this year, the number of women who have begun to smoke is greater than the number of men who have quit smoking.
--> Only mention demand of adults which totally decreased anyway--> Not solve the paradox
B. The number of teen-age children who have begun to smoke this year is greater than the number of adults who have quit smoking during the same period.
--> Mention the increase new demand of teen-age children, which exceed the decrease in demand of adults --> This may solve the paradox (since it assumed that: others not mentioned are unchanged)
C. During this year, the number of nonsmokers who have begun to use chewing tobacco or snuff is greater than the number of people who have quit smoking.
--> Same as B: it may solve the paradox
D. The people who have continued to smoke consume more tobacco per person than they did in the past.
--> Same as B&C: it may solve the paradox (since it did not take into account the number of people chewing the tobbaco)
E. More of the cigarettes made in the United States this year were exported to other countries than was the case last year.[/quote]
--> It may solve the paradox again
To solve this type of Q, we need to assume that: others not mentioned are unchanged
So B,C,D,E may solve the paradox but A did not --> A is correct
P/S: I have a small problem: Is women + men -> adults?
Paradox here:
P1: number of adult smokers decreased (demand from one source)
P2: total amount of tobacoo sold increased (supply)
Prediction: demand still increased but from the other sources of demand
Reasoning: there are many sources of demand affecting the supply of one product. So decrease in one source may not lead to the decrease in overall supply since the overall supply is decided by the overall demand.
solution:
A. During this year, the number of women who have begun to smoke is greater than the number of men who have quit smoking.
--> Only mention demand of adults which totally decreased anyway--> Not solve the paradox
B. The number of teen-age children who have begun to smoke this year is greater than the number of adults who have quit smoking during the same period.
--> Mention the increase new demand of teen-age children, which exceed the decrease in demand of adults --> This may solve the paradox (since it assumed that: others not mentioned are unchanged)
C. During this year, the number of nonsmokers who have begun to use chewing tobacco or snuff is greater than the number of people who have quit smoking.
--> Same as B: it may solve the paradox
D. The people who have continued to smoke consume more tobacco per person than they did in the past.
--> Same as B&C: it may solve the paradox (since it did not take into account the number of people chewing the tobbaco)
E. More of the cigarettes made in the United States this year were exported to other countries than was the case last year.[/quote]
--> It may solve the paradox again
To solve this type of Q, we need to assume that: others not mentioned are unchanged
So B,C,D,E may solve the paradox but A did not --> A is correct
P/S: I have a small problem: Is women + men -> adults?
- amit2k9
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classic usage of proportion in A here.
A is clear and clean.
A is clear and clean.
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- jainnikhil02
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IMO A
Nikhil K Jain
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