PROBALITY-3

This topic has expert replies
Master | Next Rank: 500 Posts
Posts: 271
Joined: Tue May 22, 2012 3:22 am
Thanked: 7 times
Followed by:3 members

PROBALITY-3

by \'manpreet singh » Thu Dec 06, 2012 11:20 pm
Q.1) In a bag of marbles, there are 3 red, 2 white, and 5 blue. If Bob takes 2 marbles out of
the bag, what is the probability that he will have one white and one blue marble?
Source: — Problem Solving |

User avatar
GMAT Instructor
Posts: 15539
Joined: Tue May 25, 2010 12:04 pm
Location: New York, NY
Thanked: 13060 times
Followed by:1906 members
GMAT Score:790

by GMATGuruNY » Fri Dec 07, 2012 3:51 am
'manpreet singh wrote:Q.1) In a bag of marbles, there are 3 red, 2 white, and 5 blue. If Bob takes 2 marbles out of
the bag, what is the probability that he will have one white and one blue marble?
P(1st marble is white) = 2/10. (Of the 10 marbles, 2 are white.)
P(2nd marble is blue) = 5/9. (Of the 9 remaining marbles, 5 are blue.)
Since we want both events to happen, we multiply the probabilities:
2/10 * 5/9 = 1/9.
Since a good outcome will be achieved if the order of the colors is reversed, we multiply by 2:
2 * 1/9 = 2/9.
Private tutor exclusively for the GMAT and GRE, with over 20 years of experience.
Followed here and elsewhere by over 1900 test-takers.
I have worked with students based in the US, Australia, Taiwan, China, Tajikistan, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia -- a long list of countries.
My students have been admitted to HBS, CBS, Tuck, Yale, Stern, Fuqua -- a long list of top programs.

As a tutor, I don't simply teach you how I would approach problems.
I unlock the best way for YOU to solve problems.

For more information, please email me (Mitch Hunt) at [email protected].
Student Review #1
Student Review #2
Student Review #3

User avatar
Senior | Next Rank: 100 Posts
Posts: 47
Joined: Wed Nov 21, 2012 10:40 pm
Thanked: 4 times

by ritind » Sat Dec 08, 2012 2:49 am
I dont understand why order is considered while taking out the probability.

User avatar
GMAT Instructor
Posts: 15539
Joined: Tue May 25, 2010 12:04 pm
Location: New York, NY
Thanked: 13060 times
Followed by:1906 members
GMAT Score:790

by GMATGuruNY » Sat Dec 08, 2012 4:07 am
ritind wrote:I dont understand why order is considered while taking out the probability.
In the problem above, there is a SINGLE EVENT: the selecting of two marbles.
We need to account for ALL OF THE WAYS that this single event could yield a white marble and a blue marble.
There are TWO WAYS that this single event could yield a favorable outcome:
Case 1: If the first marble selected is white, and the second marble selected is blue.
Case 2: If the first marble selected is blue, and the second marble selected is white.
The probability of a favorable outcome is THE SAME in each case: 1/9.
Thus, the probability that this SINGLE EVENT OF SELECTING TWO MARBLES will yield a white marble and a blue marble = 2 * 1/9 = 2/9.
Private tutor exclusively for the GMAT and GRE, with over 20 years of experience.
Followed here and elsewhere by over 1900 test-takers.
I have worked with students based in the US, Australia, Taiwan, China, Tajikistan, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia -- a long list of countries.
My students have been admitted to HBS, CBS, Tuck, Yale, Stern, Fuqua -- a long list of top programs.

As a tutor, I don't simply teach you how I would approach problems.
I unlock the best way for YOU to solve problems.

For more information, please email me (Mitch Hunt) at [email protected].
Student Review #1
Student Review #2
Student Review #3

Junior | Next Rank: 30 Posts
Posts: 17
Joined: Wed Feb 29, 2012 1:58 am

by ziko » Tue Dec 11, 2012 5:38 am
One of the ways to solve this problem will be to calculate total number of combinations of having 2 marbles out of 10.
10!/2!(10-2)!=45 so there are 45 possible combinations

Now we need to find number of combinations when we have one white and one blue marble.
one white marble - 2!/1!(2-1)!=2
one blue marble - 5!/1!(5-1)!=5
So the total combinations of having 1 white and 1 blue combinations = 2*5=10

Probability of having 1 white and 1 blue = 10/45=2/9

Hope that helps!