George is aiming his arrows at the target shown by his mentor.If probability of hitting the target is 0.7, what is the approximate probability that he will hit the target only three times in his first five attempts?
A 0.1
B 0.3
C 0.85
D 0.5
E 0.65
George is aiming his arrows at the target shown - probabilit
This topic has expert replies
-
- Legendary Member
- Posts: 2789
- Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2011 12:19 am
- Location: Chennai, India
- Thanked: 206 times
- Followed by:43 members
- GMAT Score:640
Between C and E, E with a wild guess!GMIHIR wrote:George is aiming his arrows at the target shown by his mentor.If probability of hitting the target is 0.7, what is the approximate probability that he will hit the target only three times in his first five attempts?
A 0.1
B 0.3
C 0.85
D 0.5
E 0.65
-
- Newbie | Next Rank: 10 Posts
- Posts: 1
- Joined: Sat Feb 04, 2012 11:40 pm
Is the answer B?
as Hit = .7 & miss = .3
Binomial probability distribution = 5C3 (.7)^3 * (.3)^2
=.3087
as Hit = .7 & miss = .3
Binomial probability distribution = 5C3 (.7)^3 * (.3)^2
=.3087
GMAT/MBA Expert
- Jeff@TargetTestPrep
- GMAT Instructor
- Posts: 1462
- Joined: Thu Apr 09, 2015 9:34 am
- Location: New York, NY
- Thanked: 39 times
- Followed by:22 members
We need to determine the probability that George hits the target 3 times and misses twice, in 5 attempts.GMIHIR wrote:George is aiming his arrows at the target shown by his mentor.If probability of hitting the target is 0.7, what is the approximate probability that he will hit the target only three times in his first five attempts?
A 0.1
B 0.3
C 0.85
D 0.5
E 0.65
Since the probability of a hit is 0.7, the probability of a miss is 0.3. Thus, we need to determine:
P(H-H-H-M-M) = 0.7 x 0.7 x 0.7 x 0.3 x 0.3 ≈ 0.03
However, we have to account for the number of ways we can arrange H-H-H-M-M, which is a combination problem because order doesn't matter.
5C3 = 5!/[3!(5-3)!] = 5!/(3! x 2!) = (5 x 4)/2 = 10 ways
Thus, P(3H and 2M) ≈ 0.03 x 10 = 0.3.
Answer: B
Jeffrey Miller
Head of GMAT Instruction
[email protected]
See why Target Test Prep is rated 5 out of 5 stars on BEAT the GMAT. Read our reviews