Evaluate the argument

This topic has expert replies
Junior | Next Rank: 30 Posts
Posts: 19
Joined: Sat Nov 03, 2007 6:30 pm
Thanked: 1 times

Evaluate the argument

by visjain » Tue May 05, 2009 10:59 am
The facts show that the fear of flying in airplanes is not rational. In 1986 alone there were 38500 fatalities in highway accidents, but from 1980 to the present an average of only 77 accidents on major domestic airlines. The rate for regional airlines was only slightly higher.

If the evidence cited above is accurate which of the following would be most imporatant in order to evaluate the force of that evidence?

A) Whether repeated airplane travel allays the fear of flying in airplane?

B) Whether regional and domestic airlines spend the same average amount of time per aircraft on maintenance?

C) How many people reported a fear of flying in airplanes that prevented them from flying?

D) How many people per year have travelled by highways and how many by air since 1980?

E) How much higher the accident rate has been for regional airlines than for major domestic airlines?

Master | Next Rank: 500 Posts
Posts: 424
Joined: Sun Dec 07, 2008 5:15 pm
Location: Sydney
Thanked: 12 times

Re: Evaluate the argument

by piyush_nitt » Tue May 05, 2009 11:33 am
visjain wrote:The facts show that the fear of flying in airplanes is not rational. In 1986 alone there were 38500 fatalities in highway accidents, but from 1980 to the present an average of only 77 accidents on major domestic airlines. The rate for regional airlines was only slightly higher.

If the evidence cited above is accurate which of the following would be most imporatant in order to evaluate the force of that evidence?

A) Whether repeated airplane travel allays the fear of flying in airplane?

B) Whether regional and domestic airlines spend the same average amount of time per aircraft on maintenance?

C) How many people reported a fear of flying in airplanes that prevented them from flying?

D) How many people per year have travelled by highways and how many by air since 1980?

E) How much higher the accident rate has been for regional airlines than for major domestic airlines?
IMO C

Conclusion: the fear of flying in airplanes is not rational.

C: Yes many people reported a fear of flying in airplanes that prevented them from flying

Conclusion falls apart

C: NOt many people reported a fear of flying in airplanes that prevented them from flying

Conculsion strenghtens

Hence C

Junior | Next Rank: 30 Posts
Posts: 14
Joined: Sun May 03, 2009 4:10 am
Thanked: 1 times

Re: Evaluate the argument

by Objectivo » Wed May 06, 2009 12:52 pm
visjain wrote:The facts show that the fear of flying in airplanes is not rational. In 1986 alone there were 38500 fatalities in highway accidents, but from 1980 to the present an average of only 77 accidents on major domestic airlines. The rate for regional airlines was only slightly higher.

If the evidence cited above is accurate which of the following would be most imporatant in order to evaluate the force of that evidence?

A) Whether repeated airplane travel allays the fear of flying in airplane?

B) Whether regional and domestic airlines spend the same average amount of time per aircraft on maintenance?

C) How many people reported a fear of flying in airplanes that prevented them from flying?

D) How many people per year have travelled by highways and how many by air since 1980?

E) How much higher the accident rate has been for regional airlines than for major domestic airlines?

The argument seems to be 38.000 deaths on highways vs only 77 accidents/year on domestic flights. That argument only holds if there aren't thousands of times more highway travellers than flyers.

Thus D.

Master | Next Rank: 500 Posts
Posts: 100
Joined: Tue Aug 05, 2014 11:00 am

by samanthaJ79 » Sun May 15, 2016 6:07 am
Option C is apprpriate