vishalchaudhury wrote:I know this is an old thread but can someone please clarify the first question (assumption one) for me.
Conclusion - insurance is partly responsible for the high rate of bank failures (Isn't this the conclusion? Someone has mentioned the conclusion to be different previously in this thread)
Premise - depositors insured against bank failures,depositor not concerned abt finding risk free bank, no competition
I chose D on the basis that it does away with an alternate cause. Should the alternate cause be also mentioned in the passage?
I did not choose E because for E to be an assumption, the conclusion would have to be something like "The high rate of bank failures will decrease if depositors are more careful in selecting banks". The assumption in option E then makes sense.
Also, if you negate E, it says "Potential depositors are not able to determine which banks are secure against failure". This clearly strengthens the argument instead of breaking it. Bank failures rates are increasing as depositors are not able to differentiate between risk free and non risk free banks, and they deposit in banks which might fail in the future thereby increasing the failure rates.
the correct modeling of the argument is
depositors are insured -> no incentive for the depositors to shop around for the "safer" banks -> no incentive for the banks to become "safer" -> banks fail -> insurance is partly responsible for failure
E is definitely a necessary assumption, and can be reached by negation as well - if depositors are not able to determine which banks are "safe", then they won't be able to effectively "shop" for the safer banks, - breaking the chain in the second link as the banks won't have any incentive to become safer even if insurance were taken off the table. The reverse of E weakens the argument's logic, so E is indeed as assumption the author must make in order to make his point.
For the same negation technique to work with D, the conclusion needs to be stronger and more clear cut in assigning the blame ONLY or MAINLY to the insurance. If the argument had concluded that insurance IS the reason for bank failures, then D would weaken this conclusion as an alternative explanation for bank failures. But the conclusion that insurance is "partly responsible" for failures is not really weakened by the introduction of another factor in bank failures such as interest rates - the two can coexist as partial factors.
The key to correctly handling CR questions is to determine to yourself what the right answer should do, BEFORE looking at the answer choices. Read the argument, construct the "chain of reasoning" above, then ask yourself "what must the author assume for this to be true?". One thing that pops us is "the author's argument talks about giving the depositors the incentive to choose the safer banks, but doesn't say that they are
able to make intelligent and informed decisions, given the incentive to do so - he's assuming this ability as a given". Then go and look for an answer choice that says that, and do not let yourself be swayed by trap answer choices that also "seem" right.