Is the GMATprep reliable?

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Is the GMATprep reliable?

by uetz » Sun Jan 10, 2010 8:13 am
Hey,
I just took the first GMATprep for the second time as my real GMAT test approaches quickly.

Now my questions:

1) Is it possible that the software did not calculate my score correctly?
I am asking because in the Quant section I got a scaled score of 48 but answered 11 questions incorrectly. The first time I took the test I got a 42 with 13 wrong answers.

Where does this huge difference (only two more questions right, but a score which increased by 6 points) come from?

2) In the Verbal section I only had 2 wrong answers but still only got a 45. How is this possible?

Any insights would be highly appreciated. :)

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by hmboy17 » Sun Jan 10, 2010 8:53 am
I also got 48 in quant with 13 questions wrong and 42 when I 13 questions wrong. But the only difference I notice in both tests that I had more questions wrong in first 10 questions in later test.
So my idea about the scoring pattern is make sure you insure the right answers for first 8 questions.

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by uetz » Sun Jan 10, 2010 9:15 am
I thought about this as well, but my wrong answers in the second test are more or less evenly distributed (5,7,10,13,17,19,22,24,28,33,36). Unfortunately, I can't recall which answers were wrong in the first test.

As far as I can recall, the OG says that the GMAT doesn't weigh the first questions higher than the last ones, so I'm not sure what the reason for the discrepancy is...

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by uetz » Tue Jan 12, 2010 1:13 am
Hey,

could anyone tell me whether the first questions are more important than the last ones? Does the GMAT weigh them higher than the last questions?

The CR Bible says yes, the OG says NO, so I'm a bit confused...

Thank you!

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by papgust » Tue Jan 12, 2010 6:55 am
If OG says so, then it should be true. Because the message comes from the real test-makers of GMAT.

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by chris@knewton » Tue Jan 12, 2010 7:15 pm
Hey everyone, wanted to weigh in on two things here.

Generally, GMATPrep is good practice, and we recommend it to our students. That said, it's also worth noting that it is common practice for testing companies to use old, discarded, and often sub-optimal questions in their test prep - they need to reserve the best questions for the real test. That can affect the predictive validity of the GMATPrep tests.

Now, with the "initial X questions"... probably the most popular question / discussion around the GMAT CAT. Items used in a CAT have quite a few psychometric characteristics associated with them. They key ones are the discrimination, difficulty (or location) and guessing parameters. Difficulty is an easy one. The guessing parameter is the probability that a test-taker with very low ability will answer the item correctly, and isn't relevant here. Discrimination is a bit more difficult to understand, but is critical in item selection and scoring and for the question at hand. Let's investigate...

Discrimination, or the a-value in CAT terms, is a measurement of how well an item differentiates between test-takers of two ability levels. It's graphed in the form of a curve from the lower left to upper right. If it's a gradual curve, then the item has low discrimination and isn't terribly precise in differentiating test-takers of similar ability levels. On the other hand, if the curve is very steep (like a step), it would be incredibly precise in being able to differentiate between test-takers of very close ability levels.

This value is important because the test needs to figure out how much weight to give each item. In the beginning of the test, each question can jump your estimated ability a good deal, as the test is just trying to find out which ballpark you are in. Since the test knows it has a lot of questions to ask you, there's no need to dole out very discriminating items in the beginning -- it would be a waste. It's just trying to figure out if you're closer to 65 or 80, or maybe 40 or 55, for example. As it goes along, and has a pretty good idea that you are around X ability level. That's when it starts dealing out the questions with high information value, a.k.a. more discriminating, because it's now trying to differentiate between smaller ranges like 68 to 72.

So the algorithm smartly uses questions with different characteristics at different times to best do its job. The confusion comes when students think those bigger jumps in the beginning preclude any chance from proving (what they more often than not hope to show) higher ability. The algorithm is flexible enough to recover from some anomalies, even early on, which is why consistent performance and finishing the section are of paramount importance. The algorithm is even flexible enough to throw out a wrong answer or two if they are entirely inconsistent with the rest of your exam, as in a top level student who make a bad mistake on an easy question. After all, the goal is to determine true ability, not penalize for every careless mistake.

Anyway, hopefully that wasn't too technical / rambling and that it helps a bit! :-)
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by uetz » Thu Jan 14, 2010 4:19 am
Hey Chris, thanks a lot for these interesting insights. :)

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by chris@knewton » Thu Jan 14, 2010 2:53 pm
No problem, uetz, glad to help!

Chris
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