One week a certain vehicle rental outlet has a total of 40 cars, 12 trucks, 28 vans, and 20 SUV's available. Andre and Barbara went to the vehicle rental outlet and chose 2 vehicles at random, with the condition that Andre and Barara would not select two of the same type of vehicle (in other words, if one of them has chosen an SUV, the other won't take an SUV. an SUV would not even be considered). What is the probability that of the two vehicles chosen, one of them is a car or a van?
[spoiler]1037/1100[/spoiler][spoiler]
[/spoiler]
Probability question
This topic has expert replies
-
- Senior | Next Rank: 100 Posts
- Posts: 62
- Joined: Thu Oct 23, 2008 9:20 am
Prob(Car) = Car/Total = 40/(40+12+28+20) = 40/100 = 2/5jnellaz wrote:One week a certain vehicle rental outlet has a total of 40 cars, 12 trucks, 28 vans, and 20 SUV's available. Andre and Barbara went to the vehicle rental outlet and chose 2 vehicles at random, with the condition that Andre and Barara would not select two of the same type of vehicle (in other words, if one of them has chosen an SUV, the other won't take an SUV. an SUV would not even be consider). What is the probability that of the two vehicles chosen, one of them is a car or a van?
Prob(Van) = VanTotal = 28/100 = 7/25
Prob(Car or Van) = Prob(Car) + Prob(Van) - Prob(Car and Van)
= (2/5) + (7/25) - 0 = 17/25
I think this may be wrong...I'm not sure.
One week a certain vehicle rental outlet has a total of 40 cars, 12 trucks, 28 vans, and 20 SUV's available. Andre and Barbara went to the vehicle rental outlet and chose 2 vehicles at random, with the condition that Andre and Barara would not select two of the same type of vehicle (in other words, if one of them has chosen an SUV, the other won't take an SUV. an SUV would not even be considered). What is the probability that of the two vehicles chosen, one of them is a car or a van?
moment please..
first c or v:
68/100 * 1 (already fulfilled criteria, second choice does not matter)
first truck(afterwards only 99cars and 11 trucks left)
12/100 * 68/88
88=99-11=100-12
first suv
20/100 * 68/80
sum: 68 * (1/100 + 12/(100*88) + 20/(100*80))
~ 68/1000 * ( 10 + 1,4 + 2,5)
~ 68 * 14 / 1000
~ 952 / 1000
and time for poe now
I explained the exact result just a few posts below this one.
moment please..
first c or v:
68/100 * 1 (already fulfilled criteria, second choice does not matter)
first truck(afterwards only 99cars and 11 trucks left)
12/100 * 68/88
88=99-11=100-12
first suv
20/100 * 68/80
sum: 68 * (1/100 + 12/(100*88) + 20/(100*80))
~ 68/1000 * ( 10 + 1,4 + 2,5)
~ 68 * 14 / 1000
~ 952 / 1000
and time for poe now
I explained the exact result just a few posts below this one.
Last edited by mowie on Mon Dec 15, 2008 11:59 am, edited 1 time in total.
-
- Master | Next Rank: 500 Posts
- Posts: 114
- Joined: Mon Oct 20, 2008 7:03 pm
- Thanked: 4 times
- Followed by:5 members
I think the trick to this problem is that when you are calculating the probability of the first choice, say it is an SUV, per the condition - the second choice can not be an SUV so you have to subtract the remaining SUVs from the total number of vehicles. So for example:
Probability:
Andre chooses an SUV = 20/100
Barbara chooses a Truck = 12/(100 minus remaining SUVs) or 81
Probability:
Andre chooses an SUV = 20/100
Barbara chooses a Truck = 12/(100 minus remaining SUVs) or 81
- logitech
- Legendary Member
- Posts: 2134
- Joined: Mon Oct 20, 2008 11:26 pm
- Thanked: 237 times
- Followed by:25 members
- GMAT Score:730
jnellaz wrote:I think the trick to this problem is that when you are calculating the probability of the first choice, say it is an SUV, per the condition - the second choice can not be an SUV so you have to subtract the remaining SUVs from the total number of vehicles. So for example:
Probability:
Andre chooses an SUV = 20/100
Barbara chooses a Truck = 12/(100 minus remaining SUVs) or 81
I like where you going with this..let me edit my post
LGTCH
---------------------
"DON'T LET ANYONE STEAL YOUR DREAM!"
---------------------
"DON'T LET ANYONE STEAL YOUR DREAM!"
Thats exactly the way I solved it.
But you need to be careful.
If one SUV is chosen there are not only 19 SUVs left, but also only 99 cars total.
I just was too lazy to calculate the result exactly.
I recognized that it is GREAT to approximate the calculation. So you should look at the answer choices first.
So, lets have a try to solve it exactly:
68 * (1/100 + 12/(100*88) + 20/(100*80))
68 * (1/100 + 12/8800 + 20/8000)
68 * (88/8800 + 12/8800 + 22/8800)
68 * (88+12+22)/8800
68 * 122 / 8800
2*2*17*2*61 / 8800
17 * 61 / 1100
(60 * 17 + 17 )/1100
(600 + 420 + 17)/1100
1037/1100
But you need to be careful.
If one SUV is chosen there are not only 19 SUVs left, but also only 99 cars total.
I just was too lazy to calculate the result exactly.
I recognized that it is GREAT to approximate the calculation. So you should look at the answer choices first.
So, lets have a try to solve it exactly:
68 * (1/100 + 12/(100*88) + 20/(100*80))
68 * (1/100 + 12/8800 + 20/8000)
68 * (88/8800 + 12/8800 + 22/8800)
68 * (88+12+22)/8800
68 * 122 / 8800
2*2*17*2*61 / 8800
17 * 61 / 1100
(60 * 17 + 17 )/1100
(600 + 420 + 17)/1100
1037/1100
Here is another way arriving at the answer.
The question asked to find the probability that atleast a car or van is selected. To get this, we can find the probability of not selecting a car and Van.
Probability of not selecting the car and Van is equal to the probability of selecting an SUV and a Truck.
Hence P(Sub and Truck) = 20 / 100 * 12/80 + 12/100*20/88
Solving the above we get 63/1100.
Now P(Car or Van) = 1 - P(Not Car and Van)
==> 1-63/1100 = 1037/1100
The question asked to find the probability that atleast a car or van is selected. To get this, we can find the probability of not selecting a car and Van.
Probability of not selecting the car and Van is equal to the probability of selecting an SUV and a Truck.
Hence P(Sub and Truck) = 20 / 100 * 12/80 + 12/100*20/88
Solving the above we get 63/1100.
Now P(Car or Van) = 1 - P(Not Car and Van)
==> 1-63/1100 = 1037/1100
-
- Senior | Next Rank: 100 Posts
- Posts: 62
- Joined: Thu Oct 23, 2008 9:20 am
I like this, so much simpler!mrsmarthi wrote:Here is another way arriving at the answer.
The question asked to find the probability that atleast a car or van is selected. To get this, we can find the probability of not selecting a car and Van.
Probability of not selecting the car and Van is equal to the probability of selecting an SUV and a Truck.
Hence P(Sub and Truck) = 20 / 100 * 12/80 + 12/100*20/88
Solving the above we get 63/1100.
Now P(Car or Van) = 1 - P(Not Car and Van)
==> 1-63/1100 = 1037/1100