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Veritas Probability Explanation required

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karthikpandian19 GMAT Titan
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Veritas Probability Explanation required Post Sun May 20, 2012 7:19 pm
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    LalaB GMAT Destroyer!
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    Post Sun May 20, 2012 10:12 pm
    to be accepted at least one school =1- not to be accepted at all


    not to be accepted at all =(4/5)*(4/5)*(4/5)=64/125

    1-64/125=61/125

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    karthikpandian19 GMAT Titan
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    Post Sun May 20, 2012 10:33 pm
    To be accepted by atleast one school is also equal to OR condition, so why cant it be 1/5 +1/5 + 1/5 = 3/5 ???

    Please clarify the confusion???

    LalaB wrote:
    to be accepted at least one school =1- not to be accepted at all


    not to be accepted at all =(4/5)*(4/5)*(4/5)=64/125

    1-64/125=61/125

    LalaB GMAT Destroyer!
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    Post Sun May 20, 2012 10:49 pm
    To be accepted by atleast one school means (1 -to be accepted to NONE school at all)

    if ur get OR condition, then u wont get NONE, since Or means that there is some possibibity for being accepted

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    diebeatsthegmat GMAT Titan Default Avatar
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    Post Sun May 20, 2012 11:28 pm
    karthikpandian19 wrote:
    this one is quite easy
    step 1: one of 3 schools he will get in :
    3!/2!* 20/100*80/100*80/100=48/125
    step 2: he will get in 2 in three:
    3!/2!*20/100*20/100*80/100=12/125
    step 3: he is able to get in all the whole three
    3!/3!*20/100*20/100*20/100=1/125
    totally =(48+12+1)/125= the answwer

    karthikpandian19 GMAT Titan
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    Post Sun May 20, 2012 11:46 pm
    Can any GMAT Expert explain this one?

    Still i m confused????
    karthikpandian19 wrote:

    aneesh.kg GMAT Destroyer!
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    Post Fri Jun 01, 2012 10:46 pm
    karthikpandian19 wrote:
    Can any GMAT Expert explain this one?

    Still i m confused????
    Ok. Let me try.
    Remember: AND implies 'multiplication'. OR implies 'addition'.

    Let the names of the three MBA programs be A, B and C.
    If for each of A, B, C
    P(accepted) = 1/5, then
    for each of them
    P(not accepted) = 1 - 1/5 = 4/5

    Better Method:
    P(accepted by atleast one school)
    = 1 - P(not accepted by any school)
    = 1 - P(not accepted by A) AND P(not accepted by B) AND P(not accepted by C)
    = 1 - (4/5)*(4/5)*(4/5)
    = 1 - (64/125)
    = 61/125

    Alternatively(And, this is a long method):

    I think you were stuck in the explanation of this method, so I will elaborate it in detail. Read on.

    P(accepted by atleast one school)
    = P(accepted by one school) OR P(accepted by two schools) OR P(accepted by three schools)

    P(accepted by one school)
    = [P(accepted by A) AND P(not accepted by B) AND P(not accepted by C)]*[Arrange]
    Why and What do we arrange?
    Notice that we have considered a Yes-No-No for A,B,C but we can also have a No-Yes-No or a No-No-Yes.
    The Yes,No,No can be arranged in (3!/2!) = 3 ways.
    So,
    P(accepted by one school)
    = (1/5)*(4/5)*(4/5)*3
    = 48/125

    P(accepted by two schools)
    = [P(accepted by A) AND P(accepted by B) AND P(not accepted by C)]*[Arrange]
    = (1/5)*(1/5)*(4/5)*3
    = 12/125

    Note that we have arranged a Yes-Yes-No in 3!/2! = 3 ways here.
    P(accepted by 3 schools)
    = [P(accepted by A) AND P(accepted by B) AND P(accepted by C)]*[Arrange]
    = (1/5)*(1/5)*(1/5)*1
    = 1/125

    Note that there is just one way of arranging Yes-Yes-Yes.
    Therefore,
    P(accepted by atleast one school)
    = (48/125) + (12/125) + (1/125)
    = 61/125

    Same Answer. Hooraah!

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