GMAT Official Guide - Probability googly

This topic has expert replies
Legendary Member
Posts: 559
Joined: Tue Mar 27, 2007 1:29 am
Thanked: 5 times
Followed by:2 members

GMAT Official Guide - Probability googly

by Cybermusings » Sat Apr 07, 2007 12:35 am
A certain junior class has 1000 students and a certain senior class has 800 students. Among these students, there are 60 sibling pairs, each consisting of one junior and one senior student. if 1 student is to be selected at random from each class, what is the probability that the 2 students selected will be a sibling pair.

1) 3/40,000

2) 1/3,600

3) 9/2000

4) 1/60

5) 1/15

GMAT Instructor
Posts: 22
Joined: Fri Mar 16, 2007 10:28 pm

by Princeton Review » Sat Apr 07, 2007 5:31 am
When you're thinking about probability, the common sense way to consider it is "what I want" / "total possible".

For this problem, the ultimate outcome that you want is to pick a sibling pair from among the juniors and seniors. So what has to happen for that outcome to occur?

First, from among the juniors you have to pick someone who has a sibling in the senior class. There are 60 of those, so the chances of that event are 60/1000, or 6/100

Next, you have to pick that peron's sibling from among the seniors. There is only going to be one person in the senior class who will be the sibling of whomever you picked from the junior class, so that will give you 1/800.

Multiply those together and you get 6/80,000. This reduces to 3/40,000.
Matt McIver

Princeton Review Instructor

User avatar
GMAT Instructor
Posts: 1449
Joined: Sat Oct 09, 2010 2:16 pm
Thanked: 59 times
Followed by:33 members

by fskilnik@GMATH » Sun Sep 16, 2018 2:00 pm
Cybermusings wrote:A certain junior class has 1000 students and a certain senior class has 800 students. Among these students, there are 60 sibling pairs, each consisting of one junior and one senior student. if 1 student is to be selected at random from each class, what is the probability that the 2 students selected will be a sibling pair.

1) 3/40,000

2) 1/3,600

3) 9/2000

4) 1/60

5) 1/15
\[\left( J \right)\,\,{\text{Junior}}\,\,:\,\,\,1000\,\,{\text{students}}\,\,,\,\,\,{J_1}\,,\,{J_2},\,\, \ldots \,\,,\,\,{J_{60}}\,\,{\text{among}}\,\,{\text{them}}\,\,\,\left( {{\text{the}}\,\,{\text{ones}}\,\,{\text{with}}\,\,{\text{senior}}\,\,{\text{siblings}}} \right)\]
\[\left( S \right)\,\,{\text{Senior}}\,\,:\,\,\,800\,\,{\text{students}}\,\,,\,\,\,{S_1}\,,\,{S_2},\,\, \ldots \,\,,\,\,{S_{60}}\,\,{\text{among}}\,\,{\text{them}}\,\,\,\left( {{\text{the}}\,\,{\text{ones}}\,\,{\text{with}}\,\,{\text{junior}}\,\,{\text{siblings}}} \right)\]
\[\left( {{J_1}\,,\,{S_1}} \right)\,\,;\,\,\left( {{J_2}\,,\,{S_2}} \right)\,\,;\,\, \ldots \,\,;\,\,\left( {{J_{60}}\,,\,{S_{60}}} \right)\,\,\,:\,\,\,{\text{pairs}}\,\,{\text{of}}\,\,{\text{siblings}}\,\]

\[? = P\left( {{\text{pair}}\,{\text{of}}\,{\text{siblings}}\,,\,\,{\text{in}}\,{\text{one}}\,J\,{\text{and}}\,{\text{one}}\,S\,{\text{extraction}}} \right)\]

\[{\text{Total}}\,\,:\,\,\,1000 \cdot 800\,\,\,{\text{equiprobables}}\,\,\,\left[ {\left( {{J_m},{S_n}} \right)\,\,,\,\,\,{\text{where}}\,\,1 \leqslant m \leqslant 1000\,\,{\text{and}}\,\,\,1 \leqslant n \leqslant 800} \right]\]
\[{\text{Favorable}}\,\,:\,\,60\,\,\,\,\,\left[ {\left( {{J_k},{S_k}} \right)\,\,,\,\,\,{\text{where}}\,\,1 \leqslant k \leqslant 60} \right]\,\,\,\,\]
\[? = \frac{{60}}{{1000 \cdot 800}} = \underleftrightarrow {\frac{{4 \cdot 15}}{{1000 \cdot 4 \cdot 200}}} = \frac{{4 \cdot 3 \cdot 5}}{{1000 \cdot 4 \cdot 5 \cdot 40}} = \frac{3}{{40 \cdot 1000}}\]


This solution follows the notations and rationale taught in the GMATH method.

Regards,
Fabio.
Fabio Skilnik :: GMATH method creator ( Math for the GMAT)
English-speakers :: https://www.gmath.net
Portuguese-speakers :: https://www.gmath.com.br

GMAT/MBA Expert

User avatar
GMAT Instructor
Posts: 7247
Joined: Sat Apr 25, 2015 10:56 am
Location: Los Angeles, CA
Thanked: 43 times
Followed by:29 members

by Scott@TargetTestPrep » Tue Sep 18, 2018 5:53 pm
Cybermusings wrote:A certain junior class has 1000 students and a certain senior class has 800 students. Among these students, there are 60 sibling pairs, each consisting of one junior and one senior student. if 1 student is to be selected at random from each class, what is the probability that the 2 students selected will be a sibling pair.

1) 3/40,000

2) 1/3,600

3) 9/2000

4) 1/60

5) 1/15
In the junior class, the probability of selecting any one sibling from the 60 sibling pairs is 60/1000. Once that person is selected, the probability of selecting his or her sibling from the senior class is 1/800; thus, the probability of a selecting a sibling pair is:

60/1000 x 1/800 = 3/50 x 1/800 = 3/40000

Alternatively, in the senior class, the probability of selecting any one sibling from the 60 sibling pairs is 60/800. Once that person is selected, the probability of selecting his or her sibling from the junior class is 1/1000; thus, the probability of a selecting a sibling pair is:

60/800 x 1/1000 = 3/40 x 1/1000 = 3/40000

Answer: A

Scott Woodbury-Stewart
Founder and CEO
[email protected]

Image

See why Target Test Prep is rated 5 out of 5 stars on BEAT the GMAT. Read our reviews

ImageImage

GMAT/MBA Expert

User avatar
GMAT Instructor
Posts: 16207
Joined: Mon Dec 08, 2008 6:26 pm
Location: Vancouver, BC
Thanked: 5254 times
Followed by:1268 members
GMAT Score:770

by Brent@GMATPrepNow » Wed Sep 19, 2018 6:40 am
Cybermusings wrote:A certain junior class has 1000 students and a certain senior class has 800 students. Among these students, there are 60 sibling pairs, each consisting of one junior and one senior student. if 1 student is to be selected at random from each class, what is the probability that the 2 students selected will be a sibling pair.

A) 3/40,000

B) 1/3,600

C) 9/2000

D) 1/60

E) 1/15
P(selecting a sibling pair) = P(select a junior with a sibling AND select the senior who is that junior's sibling)
= P(select a junior with a sibling) x P(select the senior who is that junior's sibling[/u])
= 60/1000 x 1/800
= 60/800,000
= 3/40,000
= A

Note: P(select a junior with a sibling) = 60/1000, because 60 of the 1000 juniors have a sibling who is a senior.
P(select a senior who is that junior's sibling) = 1/800, because there are 800 senior's and only 1 of them is the sibling of the selected junior.

Cheers,
Brent
Brent Hanneson - Creator of GMATPrepNow.com
Image