probability

This topic has expert replies
Master | Next Rank: 500 Posts
Posts: 124
Joined: Wed Jul 02, 2014 7:26 pm
Followed by:1 members

probability

by anksm22 » Fri Aug 29, 2014 10:27 am
4 individuals arrive separately at an orchestra concert with assigned seating tickets for exactly 4 seats in a special section. The first person to arrive loses his ticket stub after entry but remembers the section and sits randomly in one of the 4 seats. After that, each person arrives and takes his or her assigned seat in the section if it is unoccupied, and one of the unoccupied seats at random otherwise. What is the probability that the last person to arrive gets to sit in his assigned seat?

A. 1/4
B. 3/8
C. 1/2
D. 5/8
E. 3/4

Master | Next Rank: 500 Posts
Posts: 124
Joined: Wed Jul 02, 2014 7:26 pm
Followed by:1 members

by anksm22 » Fri Aug 29, 2014 10:27 am
Ans: C

User avatar
GMAT Instructor
Posts: 15539
Joined: Tue May 25, 2010 12:04 pm
Location: New York, NY
Thanked: 13060 times
Followed by:1906 members
GMAT Score:790

by GMATGuruNY » Fri Aug 29, 2014 10:31 am
anksm22 wrote:4 individuals arrive separately at an orchestra concert with assigned seating tickets for exactly 4 seats in a special section. The first person to arrive loses his ticket stub after entry but remembers the section and sits randomly in one of the 4 seats. After that, each person arrives and takes his or her assigned seat in the section if it is unoccupied, and one of the unoccupied seats at random otherwise. What is the probability that the last person to arrive gets to sit in his assigned seat?

A. 1/4
B. 3/8
C. 1/2
D. 5/8
E. 3/4
Here, the number of ways to arrange the 4 people ≠ 4!.
The reason is that the 4 people CANNOT seat themselves randomly.
Once the first person is seated, every subsequent person MUST choose his assigned seat if it is available, REDUCING the total number of possible arrangements.

Let the 4 people, in order of arrival, be A, B, C, D.

Case 1: A takes the correct seat
A _ _ _
Since B's seat is available when he arrives, B takes the correct seat.
A B _ _
Since C's seat is available when he arrives, C takes the correct seat, yielding the following arrangement:
A B C D.

Case 2: A takes B's seat
_ A _ _

Case 2a: A takes B's seat, B takes A's seat
B A _ _
Since C's seat is available when he arrives, C takes the correct seat, yielding the following arrangement:
B A C D.

Case 2b: A takes B's seat, B takes C's seat
_ A B _
Since C's seat is NOT available when he arrives, C takes either A's seat or D's seat, yielding 2 possible arrangements:
C A B D
D A B C.

Case 2c: A takes B's seat, B takes D's seat
_ A _ B
Since C's seat is available when he arrives, C takes the correct seat, yielding the following arrangement:
D A C B.

Case 3: A takes C's seat
_ _ A _
Since B's seat is available when he arrives, B takes the correct seat.
_ B A _
Since C's seat is NOT available when he arrives, C takes either A's seat or D's seat, yielding 2 possible arrangements:
C B A D
D B A C.

Case 4: A takes D's seat
_ _ _ A
Since B's seat is available when he arrives, B takes the correct seat.
_ B _ A
Since C's seat is available when he arrives, C takes the correct seat, yielding the following arrangement:
D B C A.

Possible arrangements:
A B C D
B A C D
C A B D

D A B C
D A C B
C B A D
D B A C.
D B C A.

D gets the correct seat in 4 of the 8 possible arrangements.
Thus:
P(D gets the correct seat) = 4/8 = 1/2.

The correct answer is C.
Private tutor exclusively for the GMAT and GRE, with over 20 years of experience.
Followed here and elsewhere by over 1900 test-takers.
I have worked with students based in the US, Australia, Taiwan, China, Tajikistan, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia -- a long list of countries.
My students have been admitted to HBS, CBS, Tuck, Yale, Stern, Fuqua -- a long list of top programs.

As a tutor, I don't simply teach you how I would approach problems.
I unlock the best way for YOU to solve problems.

For more information, please email me (Mitch Hunt) at [email protected].
Student Review #1
Student Review #2
Student Review #3