predict and explain:)

kiranlegend · Posted: Sun Jul 20, 2008 11:48 am Post subject: predict and explain:)

When people predict that certain result will not take place unless a
certain action is taken, they believe that they have learned that the
prediction is correct when the action is taken and the result occurs.
On reflection, however, it often becomes clear that the result admits
of more than one interpretation.
Which of the following, if true, best supports the claims above?

(A) Judging the success of an action requires specifying the goal of
the action.
(B) Judging which action to take after a prediction is made requires
knowing about other actions that have been successful in similar past
situations.
(C) Learning whether a certain predictive strategy is good requires
knowing the result using that strategy through several trials.
(D) Distinguishing a correct prediction and effective action from an
incorrect prediction and ineffective action is often impossible.
(E) Making a successful prediction requires knowing the facts about the
context of that prediction

guys, please post your opinions with explanations.. along with your opinions please part the conclusion of this argument and let me know.. thanks so much!

Vignesh.4384 · Posted: Sun Jul 20, 2008 5:25 pm Post subject:

IMO D.

Claim: Result admits to more than 1 action.

A-> talks about sucess. this is not needed
b-> talks about past experiences. passage does not say anythign about that
c-> says that productive strategy needs trial. not related to claim.
d-> it says choosing the correction action is mostly impossible.. this means that that more than 1 action could lead to results. this strenghtens.
e-> talks about success and facts. this is not needed.

Regards,
vignesh

reachac · Posted: Sun Jul 20, 2008 9:05 pm Post subject:

IMO A

kiranlegend · Posted: Mon Jul 21, 2008 9:32 am Post subject:

OA is D